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2007 UD Black Baseball Analysis | The Card Blog
Sports Card News, Reviews, and Box Breaks

2007 UD Black Baseball Analysis

January 18th, 2008 by Alex

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Here’s my 2007 UD Black Baseball Analysis. It’s similar to the 2007 Topps Sterling Analysis that I did before. Information is based on the full UD Black Checklist found at Upper Deck.com. Numbers are based on the entire baseball card print run and do not reflect any cards held back from distribution by Upper Deck for NPN programs or other reasons. All percentages shown are chances of getting a card out of a 2 pack box.

First, some comments:
Obviously, UD Black Baseball is a high-end product so I was really surprised when I saw the shear size of the checklist. 149 different players appear on at least one baseball card each. The “base set” is 42 veterans and 30 rookies. That leaves 77 players that only appear in insert sets.

Some players only appear in the Pure White Packs, including big names like Roger Clemens, Pedro Martinez, and Albert Pujols. Bottom line, there is no player that appears in every set, so if you are a player collector consult the checklist before you go chasing after cards that don’t exist!

For the most part, every card has a gold and pearl parallel. However, there are some cards that don’t… and there are some parallels of cards that aren’t in the regular set. Weird. Also, the gold versions of the Prominent Numbers set are #’d to 10, but the regular cards in that set are #’d to the player’s jersey number, so some of the gold parallels are actually more common than the regular cards.

There are 10 mystery dual cut redemptions included in UD Black. That gives you a 0.057% chance of getting one if you buy a box.

There are 1,432 one of one’s, giving you about a 8.2% shot at pulling one.

Now, let’s get to the complete analysis…

The Basics
Total Boxes: 17,443
Total Cards: 34,886
One of One’s: 1,432
Mystery Cut Exchange Cards: 10
Total Players on Checklist: 149

The Big Names

Player Total Cards Chance
Cal Ripken Jr 505 2.9%
Ken Griffey Jr 487 2.8%
Derek Jeter 190 1.1%
Daisuke Matsuzaka 220 1.3%
Joba Chamberlain 114 0.7%

10 Most Common Players

Player Total Cards Chance
Dan Haren 683 3.9%
Coco Crisp 669 3.8%
Justin Morneau 629 3.6%
Curtis Granderson 624 3.6%
B.J. Upton 607 3.5%
Aaron Harang 598 3.4%
Jeremy Bonderman 598 3.4%
Justin Verlander 597 3.4%
Ryan Braun 597 3.4%
Howie Kendrick 596 3.4%

Remember!!
All percentages shown are chances of getting a card out of a 2 pack box.

Set Breakdown

Card Type Total Cards Chance
Base Cards (1-42) » View Auctions 3,467 19.9% overall
Base (#’d to 75 or less) 2,870 16.5%
Gold (#’d to 10) 390 2.2%
Pearl (#’d to 1) 39 0.2%
Printing Plates (#’d to 1) 168 1%
Pride of the Nation » View Auctions 5,830 33.4% overall
Veteran (#’d to 75) 1,975 11.3%
Rookie (#’d to 99) 2,970 17.0%
Gold (#’d to 10) 590 3.4%
Pearl (#’d to 1) 59 0.3%
Printing Plates (#’d to 1) 236 1.4%
Prodigious » View Auctions 7,609 43.6% overall
Single Auto (#’d 75 or less) 3,650 20.9%
Single Auto Gold (#’d to 25) 1,425 8.2%
Single Auto Pearl (#’d to 1) 59 0.3%
Material Auto (#’d to 50 or less) 2,035 11.7%
Material Auto Gold (#’d to 10) 400 2.3%
Material Auto Pearl (#’d to 1) 40 0.2%
Lustrous » View Auctions 4,155 23.8% overall
Single Auto (#’d to 50 or less) 1,765 10.1%
Single Auto Gold (#’d to 10) 370 2.1%
Single Auto Pearl (#’d to 1) 37 0.2%
Material Auto (#’d to 50 or less) 1,576 9.0%
Material Auto Gold (#’d to 10) 370 2.1%
Material Auto Pearl (#’d to 1) 37 0.2%
August Patch Auto » View Auctions 796 4.6% overall
Base (#’d to 25 or less) 629 3.6%
Gold (#’d to 5) 140 0.8%
Pearl (#’d to 1) 27 0.2%
Premium Bat Barrel » View Auctions 1,694 9.7% overall
Base (#’d to 50 or less) 1,375 7.9%
Gold (#’d to 10) 290 1.7%
Pearl (#’d to 1) 29 0.2%
Prominent Numbers » View Auctions 1,457 8.4% overall
Base (#’d to player’s uniform) 1,003 5.8%
Gold (#’d to 10) 412 2.4%
Pearl (#’d to 1) 42 0.2%
Game Day Autos » View Auctions 6,180 35.4% overall
Ticket (#’d to 50 or less) 1,630 9.3%
Ticket Gold (#’d to 10) 350 2.0%
Ticket Pearl (#’d to 1) 37 0.2%
Box Score ( #’d to 50) 1,700 9.7%
Box Score Gold (#’d to 10) 340 1.9%
Box Score Pearl (#’d to 1) 37 0.2%
Lineup (#’d to 50) 1,700 9.7%
Lineup Gold (#’d to 10) 350 2.0%
Lineup Pearl (#’d to 1) 36 0.2%
Pure White Autos » View Auctions 486 2.8% overall
Base (#’d to 1) 98 0.6%
Printing Plate (#’d to 1) 388 2.2%
Illustrious Duals » View Auctions 2,420 13.9% overall
Base (#’d to 25 or less) 615 3.5%
Gold (#’d to 15) 375 2.1%
Pearl (#’d to 1) 25 0.1%
Material Auto (#’d to 50 or less) 1,130 6.5%
Patch Auto (#’d to 15 or less) 275 1.6%
Triptych Triples » View Auctions 610 3.5% overall
Base (#’d to 15) 225 1.3%
Gold (#’d to 5) 75 0.4%
Pearl (#’d to 1) 15 0.1%
Material Auto (#’d to 25) 250 1.4%
Patch Auto (#’d to 5) 45 0.3%
Upper Echelon Quads » View Auctions 129 0.7% overall
Base (#’d to 5) 55 0.3%
Gold (#’d to 3) 33 0.2%
Pearl (#’d to 1) 11 0.1%
Material Auto (#’d to 5 or less) 25 0.1%
Patch Auto (#’d to 1) 5 0.03%
Exclusive Eights » View Auctions 42 0.2% overall
Base (#’d to 3) 21 0.1%
Gold (#’d to 2) 14 0.1%
Pearl (#’d to 1) 7 0.04%

If you have any questions, or find any mistakes (!), let me know. I may post the entire 149 player checklist in a separate post depending on the response I get on this.

Thanks for reading!

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15 Responses to “2007 UD Black Baseball Analysis”

  1. Ted Williams Says:

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    Ted Williams…

    Are you sure this is correct?…

  2. Alex Says:

    Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /home/snorlax/www.thecardblog.com/wp-content/plugins/wpg2/wpg2embed.inc on line 963

    It’s as correct as the Upper Deck Checklists are. So while it may not be 100% accurate, it’s close enough to be useful to anyone interested in busting a box.

  3. Jack Says:

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    Jack…

    Hi You are very good writer, thanks……

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