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2007 Topps Sterling Analysis - Part 2 | The Card Blog
Sports Card News, Reviews, and Box Breaks

2007 Topps Sterling Analysis - Part 2

January 6th, 2008 by Alex

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Ok, by popular demand here is part 2 of my 2007 Topps Sterling Analysis. In this part of the analysis I will list out the chances of getting specific cards when opening a box of a given player. Warning: This is the longest post in the history of the internet. Just zero in on what you want, or if you have some time to kill, read the whole thing!

Again, this is based on information found in the Topps Sterling Sell Sheet and the Topps Sterling Checklist, provided by Topps. My numbers are only as accurate as the underlying numbers from Topps. All numbers DO NOT take into account the cards that have already been pulled.

If this info is way over your head check out Part 1 of my Topps Sterling Analysis, or my basic Topps Sterling Review.

Finally, links to active auctions for player specific boxes on ebay are provided, if you want to test your luck. If not, feel free to ignore them.

Remember, the percentages shown are for boxes where the player has been revealed, not sealed brand new boxes.

Here we go!

Total Boxes of 2007 Topps Sterling - 19,143
Total Relic Boxes - 9,643 (50.37%)
Total Auto Boxes - 9,500 (49.63%)

Albert Pujols - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 609

Relic Boxes - 511 (83.9%)
Auto Boxes - 98 (16.1%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 20 (3.28%)
Jumbo Swatch - 10 (1.64%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 10 (1.64%)

Bat Barrel - 6 (0.985%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 59 (9.69%)

Alex Rodriguez - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 610

Relic Boxes - 105 (17.2%)
Auto Boxes - 505 (82.8%)
Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 20 (3.28%)
Jumbo Swatch - 10 (1.64%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 10 (1.64%)
Bat Barrel - 7 (1.15%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 60 (9.84%)

Barry Bonds - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 1905

Relic Boxes - 1829 (96.0%)
Auto Boxes - 76 (3.99%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 20 (1.05%)
Jumbo Swatch - 10 (0.52%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 10 (0.52%)

Bat Barrel - 4 (0.21%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 175 (9.19%)

Bob Gibson - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 615

Relic Boxes - 110 (17.9%)
Auto Boxes - 505 (82.1%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 10 (1.63%)
Jumbo Swatch - 0 (0%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 10 (1.63%)

Bat Barrel - 0 (0%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 55 (8.94%)

Carl Yastrzemski - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 594

Relic Boxes - 100 (16.8%)
Auto Boxes - 494 (83.2%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 10 (1.68%)
Jumbo Swatch - 0 (0%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 10 (1.68%)

Bat Barrel - 1 (0.17%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 54 (9.09%)

Chien-Ming Wang - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 603

Relic Boxes - 109 (18.1%)
Auto Boxes - 494 (81.9%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 20 (3.32%)
Jumbo Swatch - 10 (1.66%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 10 (1.66%)

Bat Barrel - 0 (0%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 53 (8.79%)

Daisuke Matsuzaka - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 352

Relic Boxes - 352 (100%)
Auto Boxes - 0 (0%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 0 (0%)
Jumbo Swatch - 0 (0%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 0 (0%)

Bat Barrel - 0 (0.0%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 32 (9.09%)

David Ortiz - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 609

Relic Boxes - 389 (63.9%)
Auto Boxes - 220 (36.1%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 20 (3.28%)
Jumbo Swatch - 20 (3.28%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 0 (0%)

Bat Barrel - 6 (0.99%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 59 (9.69%)

David Wright - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 902

Relic Boxes - 155 (17.2%)
Auto Boxes - 747 (82.8%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 20 (2.22%)
Jumbo Swatch - 10 (1.11%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 10 (1.11%)

Bat Barrel - 2 (0.22%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 82 (9.09%)

Hideki Matsui - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 353

Relic Boxes - 310 (87.8%)
Auto Boxes - 43 (12.2%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 20 (5.67%)
Jumbo Swatch - 10 (2.83%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 10 (2.83%)

Bat Barrel - 3 (0.85%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 33 (9.35%)

Ichiro Suzuki - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 606

Relic Boxes - 606 (100%)
Auto Boxes - 0 (0%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 10 (1.65%)
Jumbo Swatch - 10 (1.65%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 0 (0%)

Bat Barrel - 2 (0.33%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 56 (9.24%)

Joe DiMaggio - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 352

Relic Boxes - 342 (97.2%)
Auto Boxes - 10 (2.8%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 0 (0%)
Jumbo Swatch - 0 (0%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 0 (0%)

Bat Barrel - 1 (0.28%)

Cut Signature - 10 (2.84%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 42 (11.93%)

Johan Santana - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 603

Relic Boxes - 109 (18.1%)
Auto Boxes - 494 (81.9%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 20 (3.32%)
Jumbo Swatch - 10 (1.66%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 10 (1.66%)

Bat Barrel - 0 (0.0%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 53 (8.79%)

Justin Morneau - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 903

Relic Boxes - 156 (17.3%)
Auto Boxes - 747 (82.7%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 20 (2.21%)
Jumbo Swatch - 10 (1.11%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 10 (1.11%)

Bat Barrel - 3 (0.33%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 83 (9.19%)

Manny Ramirez - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 598

Relic Boxes - 105 (17.6%)
Auto Boxes - 493 (82.4%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 20 (3.34%)
Jumbo Swatch - 0 (0%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 20 (3.34%)

Bat Barrel - 6 (1.0%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 58 (9.70%)

Mickey Mantle - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 1905

Relic Boxes - 1895 (99.5%)
Auto Boxes - 10 (0.5%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 0 (0%)
Jumbo Swatch - 0 (0%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 0 (0%)

Bat Barrel - 3 (0.16%)

Cut Signature - 10 (0.52%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 185 (9.71%)

Mike Schmidt - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 594

Relic Boxes - 166 (27.9%)
Auto Boxes - 428 (72.1%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 20 (3.37%)
Jumbo Swatch - 10 (1.68%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 10 (1.68%)

Bat Barrel - 2 (0.34%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 54 (9.09%)

Nolan Ryan - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 603

Relic Boxes - 109 (18.1%)
Auto Boxes - 494 (81.9%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 20 (3.32%)
Jumbo Swatch - 10 (1.66%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 10 (1.66%)

Bat Barrel - 0 (0.0%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 53 (8.79%)

Reggie Jackson - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 594

Relic Boxes - 100 (16.8%)
Auto Boxes - 494 (83.2%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 20 (3.37%)
Jumbo Swatch - 10 (1.68%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 10 (1.68%)

Bat Barrel - 2 (0.34%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 54 (9.09%)

Roberto Clemente - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 352

Relic Boxes - 342 (97.2%)
Auto Boxes - 10 (2.8%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 0 (0%)
Jumbo Swatch - 0 (0%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 0 (0%)

Bat Barrel - 1 (0.28%)

Cut Signature - 10 (2.84%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 42 (11.93%)

Roger Clemens - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 592

Relic Boxes - 450 (76.0%)
Auto Boxes - 142 (24.0%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 20 (3.38%)
Jumbo Swatch - 10 (1.69%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 10 (1.69%)

Bat Barrel - 0 (0.0%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 52 (8.78%)

Roger Maris - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 352

Relic Boxes - 342 (97.2%)
Auto Boxes - 10 (2.8%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 0 (0%)
Jumbo Swatch - 0 (0%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 0 (0%)

Bat Barrel - 1 (0.28%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 42 (11.93%)

Ryan Howard - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 606

Relic Boxes - 111 (18.3%)
Auto Boxes - 495 (81.7%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 20 (3.30%)
Jumbo Swatch - 20 (3.30%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 0 (0%)

Bat Barrel - 3 (0.50%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 56 (9.24%)

Ryne Sandberg - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 594

Relic Boxes - 100 (16.8%)
Auto Boxes - 494 (83.2%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 20 (3.37%)
Jumbo Swatch - 10 (1.68%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 10 (1.68%)

Bat Barrel - 2 (0.34%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 54 (9.09%)

Stan Musial - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 593

Relic Boxes - 99 (16.7%)
Auto Boxes - 494 (83.3%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 20 (3.37%)
Jumbo Swatch - 10 (1.69%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 10 (1.69%)

Bat Barrel - 1 (0.17%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 53 (8.94%)

Ted Willams - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 354

Relic Boxes - 344 (97.2%)
Auto Boxes - 10 (2.8%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 0 (0%)
Jumbo Swatch - 0 (0%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 0 (0%)

Bat Barrel - 3 (0.85%)

Cut Signature - 10 (2.82%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 44 (12.43%)

Tom Seaver - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 603

Relic Boxes - 109 (18.1%)
Auto Boxes - 494 (81.9%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 20 (3.32%)
Jumbo Swatch - 10 (1.66%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 10 (1.66%)

Bat Barrel - 0 (0.0%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 53 (8.79%)

Tony Gwynn - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 593

Relic Boxes - 89 (15.0%)
Auto Boxes - 504 (85.0%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 20 (3.37%)
Jumbo Swatch - 0 (0%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 20 (3.37%)

Bat Barrel - 1 (0.17%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 53 (8.94%)

Yogi Berra - Active Auctions
Total Boxes - 594

Relic Boxes - 99 (16.7%)
Auto Boxes - 495 (83.3%)

Jumbo Swatch (Any) - 0 (0%)
Jumbo Swatch - 0 (0%)
Jumbo Swatch (Auto) - 0 (0%)

Bat Barrel - 0 (0.0%)

One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 54 (9.09%)

This is pretty much all the information I have. Unfortunately, I can’t give you the numbers for triples, quads, 5, 6, and the 8 piece foldouts, because I don’t have the data. Any and all information you can give me about this product is greatly appreciated. After all that number crunching I’ve pretty much become obsessed with it.

Thanks for reading everyone!

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12 Responses to “2007 Topps Sterling Analysis - Part 2”

  1. Kabuki Says:

    Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /home/snorlax/www.thecardblog.com/wp-content/plugins/wpg2/wpg2embed.inc on line 963

    I pulled a Reggie Jackson fold out 8 relic card fold-out that is also a 1/1 (no auto). Do you have odds of pulling a fold-out?

  2. Alex Says:

    Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /home/snorlax/www.thecardblog.com/wp-content/plugins/wpg2/wpg2embed.inc on line 963

    Wow great pull!! i still haven’t found any information about the odds for the 8 piece foldouts. I am assuming they are rarer than the non-foldout relic cards though. you definitely beat the odds. if i find any information about the foldouts i’ll post it here.

  3. shaun Says:

    Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /home/snorlax/www.thecardblog.com/wp-content/plugins/wpg2/wpg2embed.inc on line 963

    man, i agree topps sterling in my opinion is the most beautiful product ever. Topps has dominated u.d. with the past 2 years of these high end delivery’s. Plus you blog has been very helpful to me…expecially the sterling report, thx shaun

  4. Boogy Says:

    Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /home/snorlax/www.thecardblog.com/wp-content/plugins/wpg2/wpg2embed.inc on line 963

    I just opened a box and pulled an Alex Rodriquez Quad Relic Auto 2/10 and I got a Roy Halladay 1/1 Letter Patch from the mystery pack. How much do you think they are worth? Anybody

  5. Weekend Topps Sterling Hits - Page 2 - Blowout Cards Forums Says:

    Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /home/snorlax/www.thecardblog.com/wp-content/plugins/wpg2/wpg2embed.inc on line 963

    […] Originally Posted by mightbe jacobbigshow, you mentioned in the other thread how you’ve kept track of sterling stuff. Are there many bat barrels that haven’t been found (well, or just not sold)? What do those go for? Well it is really hard to figure out only by stuff listed on ebay, and in the beginning these bat barrels went for a lot. But recently they haven’t, and most have been accounted for, for the big players atleast. As I said I think there were 3 Mantle bat barrels found already, so there shouldn’t be any left. But I have only seen 1 or 2 on ebay, so I do not know if that number is accurate. It is very tough, but this is not my site, but here is a great analysis site: 2007 Topps Sterling Analysis - Part 2 | The Card Blog […]

  6. Will Says:

    Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /home/snorlax/www.thecardblog.com/wp-content/plugins/wpg2/wpg2embed.inc on line 963

    Most if not all of the Mantle & Williams bat barrels have been pulled. I know of someone who has pulled at least 3 of these (and there are only 6 total).

  7. Tracie Sawyer Says:

    Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /home/snorlax/www.thecardblog.com/wp-content/plugins/wpg2/wpg2embed.inc on line 963

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  8. (2) 2007 Topps Sterling boxes - MARIS!! - Blowout Cards Forums Says:

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    […] (0%) Bat Barrel - 1 (0.28%) One of One’s (Excluding Mystery Packs) - 42 (11.93%) Links from the 2007 Topps Sterling Analysis - Part 2 | The Card Blog __________________ […]

  9. Victory Trading Cards Says:

    Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /home/snorlax/www.thecardblog.com/wp-content/plugins/wpg2/wpg2embed.inc on line 963

    kabuki - that truly is an awesome pull! Congrats - I hope you save that one for your personal collection!

  10. 名牌汇,博客,幽默,恐怖,故事,惊悚, Says:

    Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /home/snorlax/www.thecardblog.com/wp-content/plugins/wpg2/wpg2embed.inc on line 963

    名牌汇,博客,幽默,恐怖,故事,惊悚,…

    […]2007 Topps Sterling Analysis - Part 2 | The Card Blog[…]…

  11. uggs for sale online Says:

    Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /home/snorlax/www.thecardblog.com/wp-content/plugins/wpg2/wpg2embed.inc on line 963

    I wish I had produced your writing capability I look ahead to a great deal more posts and are returning

  12. Reina Woodend Says:

    Deprecated: preg_replace(): The /e modifier is deprecated, use preg_replace_callback instead in /home/snorlax/www.thecardblog.com/wp-content/plugins/wpg2/wpg2embed.inc on line 963

    you is carck,very thxs this article increible

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